Yevgeny Magda
Photo from UNIAN
The Donbas conflict remains an unresolved problem, and
tactical successes are not enough to ensure the positive dynamics. The strategy
of Crimea and Donbas return has not been revealed to the public and expert
community. European vector of Ukraine’s foreign policy received a positive
evaluation only for the work in the PACE. The victory of Donald Trump stunned
Ukrainian political elite, and it seems it has not yet recovered fully.
The occupied territories of Donbass remain a problem
to the whole Ukraine. Despite the fact that hostilities in eastern
Ukraine have been scaled down, they continue to claim lives. The Donbas
infrastructure is in a continuous collapse. The death of Arsen Pavlov (aka
Motorola) has not led to any fundamental change in attitudes among the
separatist units.
The Normandy Four and the Trilateral Contact Group are
unable to achieve an actual solution to the conflict in Donbas, while Western
diplomats, given the Russian factor, say that this would only be possible at
the expense of Ukrainian interests. Therefore, we should not overestimate the
findings of the joint investigation team on the causes of MH17 crash, where
they expressly blamed the Russian Buk anti-aircraft system. The conflict in
Donbass is gradually freezing, and this fact will bring serious consequences
for Ukraine.
Obviously, Ukraine needs a plan of Donbas and Crimea
return, which would be clear and transparent to its citizens. So far, these
intentions are all about rhetoric rather than technological algorithms. Further
delay in this issue could be disastrous for Ukraine as Moscow is dead serious
about increasing pressure on Crimea and retaining Donbas within its sphere of
influence, applying a variety of techniques to this end.
The hunt for subversives, propaganda indoctrination
and the injection of the "Russian world" ideas in huge doses are the
most notable of them, as well as holding in the occupied peninsula of elections
to the State Duma.
The return to Ukraine of the so-called "Scythian
gold" from the Netherlands has rather been a pleasant surprise than the
evidence that the Europeans realize the risk of changing the post-war borders
across the continent.
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